Mark’s NFC Guide
Get ready to throw away your money; it is time to gamble on sports, the most exciting and upsetting part of everyone’s Sunday during fall. But why only bet during the season? Odds to win before the season is always fun because you can see how wrong or off your predictions were. These are my predictions for each team in the NFC on their Over/Under post-free agency and draft, even though it may just be a little early for this.
Green Bay Packers– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 22/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 10/1, Over/Under Wins: 9.5
Green Bay added some key players on their defense, including two new pass rushers to replace Clay Matthews, to hopefully aid Aaron Rodgers in carrying the team to the playoffs like he always does. Rodgers still has it in him when it comes to being clutch and sending bombs as Hail Mary’s to the end zone. They will hit 10 wins at least this year.
Chicago Bears– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 20/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 8/1, Over/Under Wins: 9.5
Another year of experience in the NFL for Mitch Trubisky is only beneficial to the Bears. They were one doink on the field goal post away from going to the second round of the playoffs. The team has only gotten better together, and there have been extra pieces added to their defensive core — over 9.5 wins.
Minnesota Vikings– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 22/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 8/1, Over/Under Wins: 9
With competition from the Packers and Bears getting stronger, the Vikings decision to keep the same team will not work out for them, and they are affected by that with a .500 season or less. They do not get over nine wins.
Detroit Lions– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 100/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 60/1, Over/Under Wins: 7
Although they have added good luck charm CJ Anderson and Trey Flowers, I do not see the team thriving this season in a tough division. Under seven wins.
New Orleans Saints– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 12/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 5/1, Over/Under Wins: 10.5
The Saints were one missed call away from being in the Super Bowl. It is very possible for them to repeat themselves as long as Brees doesn’t taper off, but they have Teddy Bridgewater in the back if needed. They could not retain Mark Ingram, but Alvin Kamara should be ready to take all the carries now. 10.5 is a hard bet to make, but over 10.5 wins.
Atlanta Falcons– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 30/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 15/1, Over/Under Wins: 9
I believe in the Falcons for some reason. They probably won’t be able to win the division with the saints in the way, but a wild card spot is up for grabs. Their offense is as potent as it should be, and their offensive line is built of only first-round picks. Over nine wins or a push at nine.
Carolina Panthers– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 50/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 25/1, Over/Under Wins: 8
Carolina did not make any splashy moves for offseason and this season will depend on Cam Newton trying his best to throw to whoever they put out on the field as a wide receiver. The team has also added Gerald McCoy to bring a veteran presence to the Defensive line. This team could be a surprise, but I am doubtful; under eight wins.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 70/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 30/1, Over/Under Wins: 6.5
The Bucs were tight on free agency money this offseason and could not make any moves. Jason Pierre-Paul is hurt, and Gerald McCoy walked. Bruce Arians is an excellent replacement coach hire, but I don’t see it making a huge difference. Under 6.5 wins.
Philadelphia Eagles– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 16/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 8/1, Over/Under Wins: 9.5
Someone has to be good in this division, right? I think that the Eagles have the potential. They lost a handful of key players in Mike Wallace, Nick Foles, Golden Tate, and Ajayi has not been resigned yet. Jordan Hicks went to the Cardinals, and Chris Long retired. They brought back DeSean Jackson and signed Malik Jackson. The division is not particularly strong, and ten wins are possible. The team will be counting on Carson Wentz to come back and play at the level he used to before his injury and to stay on the field for the whole season. Over 9.5 wins.
Dallas Cowboys– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 22/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 10/1, Over/Under Wins: 8.5
They bring in George Iloka, Robert Quinn, Randall Cobb, and Jason Witten. Although I am happy Witten is off broadcasting, Dallas bringing him back was not the best move. This team is still firm on the line, and they extended DeMarcus Lawrence with only losing Cole Beasley. They did not take many risks this offseason, and they can remain higher up in this division with the same team — over 8.5 wins.
New York Giants– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 125/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 50/1, Over/Under Wins: 6
The team saw some subtractions this offseason by trading Odell Beckham Jr. and letting Landon Collins walk. They brought in Daniel Jones to eventually replace Eli, veteran Antoine Bethea, Golden Tate, Jabrill Peppers, and Kevin Zeitler. Is it possible for the Giants to win over six games? Absolutely. Will they? It is tough to say. The team faces some easy competition, at least on paper, on their schedule and as an optimistic Giants fan, I see the combo of the revamped offensive line and Saquon Barkley pushing the Giants to 7 wins.
Washington Redskins– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 150/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 50/1, Over/Under Wins: 6
Washington is not in the best of shape with their injury list from last season, but the addition of Dwayne Haskins in the draft does help after Alex Smith went down with a brutal leg injury. They picked up Landon Collins and extended Adrian Peterson, so I hope Derrius Guice is ready to split carries. This bet will be a push at exactly six wins, or they will be under.
Los Angeles Rams– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 8/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 5/1, Over/Under Wins: 10.5
The team so close to winning it all came up short and added Eric Weddle for likely his last season, and they tagged Dante Fowler. Other losses were Ndamukong Suh and Lamarcus Joyner on defense and John Sullivan at Center. The team is still excellent and set up to be successful down the line; over 10.5 wins.
San Francisco 49ers – Odds to Win Super Bowl: 30/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 18/1, Over/Under Wins: 8
The Niners made the right moves in the offseason, acquiring Dee Ford and Kwon Alexander and drafting Nick Bosa for the defense, and Jimmy Garoppolo is on pace to be fully healthy by the start of the season. It is possible and likely, they hit over eight wins in the season.
Seattle Seahawks– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 40/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 18/1, Over/Under Wins: 8.5
Seattle has kept their team in playoff contention over the last couple of seasons as their team has slowly tapered off. They were able to extend Russell Wilson to a huge contract, and that could be the only reason they stay somewhat competitive this season. Their draft selections were great, but not ready to make a large enough impact for the season. Not competitive enough in a strong division at the top. Just under 8.5 wins.
Arizona Cardinals– Odds to Win Super Bowl: 125/1, Odds to Win NFC Championship: 60/1, Over/Under Wins: 5.5
With fresh new #1 pick Kyler Murray and a new regime, the team is primed to make a step in the right direction. The team is young and added Jordan Hicks and veteran Terrell Suggs. That all doesn’t mean this year will be amazing for them. I think it is possible for the team to do okay, but not enough with five wins; under 5.5 wins.
Bets I Like:
Dallas Cowboys: Over 8.5 Wins
Washington Redskins: Under 6 Wins
Detroit Lions: Under 7 Wins
Green Bay Packers: Win Super Bowl 22/1
San Francisco 49ers: Win NFC Championship 18/1